The Set-ups Are There

Not much commentary today besides the fact that I feel like the set-up are there, they just need to trigger and follow through which they have been doing somewhat.

I have an interest in these stocks if and only if the go through yesterday highs plus .10 cents.

Frank Zorrilla, Registered Advisor In New York. If you need a second opinion, suggestions, and or feedback in regards to the market feel free to reach me at fzorrilla@zorcapital.com or 646-480-7463. 

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We live in a world in which we are bombarded with information, tweets, blogs, etc., content is the new salesman, content is the new marketing, content is the new networking. With information being so readily available, bloggers try to differentiate themselves with their writing skills, volume, and consistency, putting out blog posts to meet quotas. We are seeking to stand out from the crowd by showing performance, by taking all the information and seeking alpha, that’s the sole purpose of the blog. It won’t always be pretty; it’s never easy, and performance is spotty, but we seek superior risk-adjusted returns, not notoriety for our writing skills.  If this is something you can relate to, then this blog is for you.

The FED Is Out Of The Way, Now What

The FED raised rates yesterday, the DOW continues to flirt with media grabbing 20k level, energy companies took advantage of the recent rip in oil to announce $2-billion dollars in secondary and the year is coming to an end.

The indices were down across the board, the negative action took place after the FED meeting. Gold (-1.47%) and the gold miners (GDX -5.47%, GDXJ -6.40%) were the biggest losers, and they are following through this morning.

Looking at the big picture, the SP500 is still trading well above its recent 2.7-year breakout as you can see in the chart below. In other words, if your timeframe is longer than a few days then things are fine. Pullbacks will happen, but as long as we stay above, 2,080 things will be okay.

With that being said; below are the stocks on my watchlist today, I have an interest in these stocks on the long side if and only if they go through yesterday's high.

Frank Zorrilla, Registered Advisor In New York. If you need a second opinion, suggestions, and or feedback in regards to the market feel free to reach me at fzorrilla@zorcapital.com or 646-480-7463. 

See How I Translate My Tweets & Blogs Into Actual 3rd Party Verified Trades

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We live in a world in which we are bombarded with information, tweets, blogs, etc., content is the new salesman, content is the new marketing, content is the new networking. With information being so readily available, bloggers try to differentiate themselves with their writing skills, volume, and consistency, putting out blog posts to meet quotas. We are seeking to stand out from the crowd by showing performance, by taking all the information and seeking alpha, that’s the sole purpose of the blog. It won’t always be pretty; it’s never easy, and performance is spotty, but we seek superior risk-adjusted returns, not notoriety for our writing skills.  If this is something you can relate to, then this blog is for you.

Checking In On Travel Centers

I don't usually discuss individual stocks, but when I do, it's because I feel very strongly about them.  I've highlighted three stocks in the last year; ATSG, AAWW, and NTDOY just recently.

ATSG and AAWW are two Amazon derivative plays that can be huge benefactors of Amazon's dominance for quarters to come; you can see the original write up here.

Nintendo is one we recently highlighted at $29 due to their recent release of the NES CLASSIC, which is turning out to be a huge hit. Write up here.

I want to introduce you to TravelCenters;

TravelCenters has been in business for over 40 years; their business includes 255 truck stops, 233 convenience stores and 52 standalone restaurants across 43 states.

They operate under'; Travel Centers, PETRO, MINI-MART, QUACKER STEAK & LUBE, BEST WINGS USA.

The Travel Centers group operates 750 restaurants (popeyes, subway, etc.) and food outlets and 52 standalone restaurants

The fact is, you probably can't drive down a major highway without passing one of their locations.

Total Revenue quarter ending September 2016, $5.4 billion.
Fuel: $3.4 billion, Non-fuel: $1.9 billion.

December of last year TravelCenters rebuffed a $14 bid from Golden Gate Capital.

Frank Zorrilla, Registered Advisor In New York. If you need a second opinion, suggestions, and or feedback in regards to the market feel free to reach me at fzorrilla@zorcapital.com or 646-480-7463. 

See How I Translate My Tweets & Blogs Into Actual 3rd Party Verified Trades

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We live in a world in which we are bombarded with information, tweets, blogs, etc., content is the new salesman, content is the new marketing, content is the new networking. With information being so readily available, bloggers try to differentiate themselves with their writing skills, volume, and consistency, putting out blog posts to meet quotas. We are seeking to stand out from the crowd by showing performance, by taking all the information and seeking alpha, that’s the sole purpose of the blog. It won’t always be pretty; it’s never easy, and performance is spotty, but we seek superior risk-adjusted returns, not notoriety for our writing skills.  If this is something you can relate to, then this blog is for you.

WTI, Insider Plunges In

W&T Offshore is an independent oil and natural gas producer in the Gulf of Mexico. It holds interests in approximately 54 offshore fields, interests in roughly 900,000 gross acres and it has total proved reserves of 76.4 million barrels of oil equivalent.

What's interesting about the stock at this very moment is not only the fact oil is surging higher due to the recent Opec deal in which W&T could be a major benefactor. But, it's the recent insider buy by the Chairman & CEO Tracy Krohn. On December 7 (last week) Tracy bought 1,000,000 of WTI at $1.94, on December 8th he bought 180,888 shares also at $1.94 bringing the amount of shares that he owns in a total to 42,642,712 shares.

According to Finviz and Yahoo W&T Offshore has roughly 137 million shares outstanding, 92 million in the float and 11% of that float is short with a short interest ratio of around 11 days.

Hedge Funds also showed an interest in the stock; only six hedge funds owned WTI at the end of the second quarter; that number was boosted to 10 as of 9/30/16.

The stock has been in a downtrend for a very long time, but it is finally showing some signs of life; the first time in a while the is trading above its 50 and 200 day moving averages. The 50-day is now curling higher, and the 200-day is flattening out.

Bottom line; when you put all the pieces together; OPEC deal, oil surging, oil stocks surging, insider buying, CEO owns a bulk of the float, high short interest, renewed hedge fund interest, long-term downtrend coming to a halt, above its intermediate and long-term moving average, and you have the potential of the beginning of something big starting.

Frank Zorrilla, Registered Advisor In New York. If you need a second opinion, suggestions, and or feedback in regards to the market feel free to reach me at fzorrilla@zorcapital.com or 646-480-7463. 

See How I Translate My Tweets & Blogs Into Actual 3rd Party Verified Trades

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We live in a world in which we are bombarded with information, tweets, blogs, etc., content is the new salesman, content is the new marketing, content is the new networking. With information being so readily available, bloggers try to differentiate themselves with their writing skills, volume, and consistency, putting out blog posts to meet quotas. We are seeking to stand out from the crowd by showing performance, by taking all the information and seeking alpha, that’s the sole purpose of the blog. It won’t always be pretty; it’s never easy, and performance is spotty, but we seek superior risk-adjusted returns, not notoriety for our writing skills.  If this is something you can relate to, then this blog is for you.

A Halt In the Action

My rolling 5-day watchlist is my best barometer for the health of the market in the short-term. It tells me if stocks are moving, how they are moving, and also hints at different themes that might be in play; particular sectors, highly shorted stocks, whether there is good follow through or not, etc..

Based on the way I look at charts and what I consider buyable set-ups, the stocks that have made my list over the last 5-days have had poor performance.

With that being said, below is my watchlist for today; I have an interest in these stocks if and only if they go through the high they printed yesterday.

We have a jammed pack week, Fed meeting, and quadruple witching, these two events, specifically the Fed meeting can and will probably have an impact on over the short-term.

Frank Zorrilla, Registered Advisor In New York. If you need a second opinion, suggestions, and or feedback in regards to the market feel free to reach me at fzorrilla@zorcapital.com or 646-480-7463. 

See How I Translate My Tweets & Blogs Into Actual 3rd Party Verified Trades

Work With Me

We live in a world in which we are bombarded with information, tweets, blogs, etc., content is the new salesman, content is the new marketing, content is the new networking. With information being so readily available, bloggers try to differentiate themselves with their writing skills, volume, and consistency, putting out blog posts to meet quotas. We are seeking to stand out from the crowd by showing performance, by taking all the information and seeking alpha, that’s the sole purpose of the blog. It won’t always be pretty; it’s never easy, and performance is spotty, but we seek superior risk-adjusted returns, not notoriety for our writing skills.  If this is something you can relate to, then this blog is for you.

Top 20 Industries

Here are the top 20 industries based on 65-day momentum. There are a ton of reasons why you should track the top 20 industries, the most important one; a large part of a stock's move is due to the performance of the industry.

If you make a watchlist with all the names within these industries you will come up with roughly 826 names if you overlay a simple filter to narrow down the list like; no more than 4% above or below its 20-day moving average you will narrow the list to 51. Now you have a workable list for today.

Frank Zorrilla, Registered Advisor In New York. If you need a second opinion, suggestions, and or feedback in regards to the market feel free to reach me at fzorrilla@zorcapital.com or 646-480-7463. 

See How I Translate My Tweets & Blogs Into Actual 3rd Party Verified Trades

Work With Me

We live in a world in which we are bombarded with information, tweets, blogs, etc., content is the new salesman, content is the new marketing, content is the new networking. With information being so readily available, bloggers try to differentiate themselves with their writing skills, volume, and consistency, putting out blog posts to meet quotas. We are seeking to stand out from the crowd by showing performance, by taking all the information and seeking alpha, that’s the sole purpose of the blog. It won’t always be pretty; it’s never easy, and performance is spotty, but we seek superior risk-adjusted returns, not notoriety for our writing skills.  If this is something you can relate to, then this blog is for you.

Up and Away

Same tune, just another day. The market has certainly forgotten what a down day is, we continue to grind higher making it difficult to buy aggressively. We all know that a down day is coming, everyone expects it, but I'm sure when it comes they'll be shocked.

As I go through my scans, I've noticed that many small biotech stocks are holding up well, a lot better than the sentiment surrounding the sector. Stocks like XON, AMAG, ZIOP, have been trading sideways for a few months and are just emerging from their possible first stage bases. Biotechs like AERI, CLCD, have been immune to the recent biotech sell-off. The one issue that I have with biotechs is obviously the fact that on any given day you can walk into a huge gap down making owning the ETF a much safer bet.

Below are the stocks on my list today; I have an interest in these stocks if and only if they go through yesterday's highs.

Frank Zorrilla, Registered Advisor In New York. If you need a second opinion, suggestions, and or feedback in regards to the market feel free to reach me at fzorrilla@zorcapital.com or 646-480-7463. 

See How I Translate My Tweets & Blogs Into Actual 3rd Party Verified Trades

Work With Me

We live in a world in which we are bombarded with information, tweets, blogs, etc., content is the new salesman, content is the new marketing, content is the new networking. With information being so readily available, bloggers try to differentiate themselves with their writing skills, volume, and consistency, putting out blog posts to meet quotas. We are seeking to stand out from the crowd by showing performance, by taking all the information and seeking alpha, that’s the sole purpose of the blog. It won’t always be pretty; it’s never easy, and performance is spotty, but we seek superior risk-adjusted returns, not notoriety for our writing skills.  If this is something you can relate to, then this blog is for you.

Red Hot Momentum

Big day yesterday, things were quiet and then at 1:00 pm the fireworks went off. The most interesting thing about yesterday was the fact that the SP500 (up huge), BONDS, GOLD, and Volatility were all up. A rare event. At certain times, breadth becomes so hot in the short term that it actually becomes a negative, we are there now. And to reiterate what I've been saying over the last couple of days; the longer your timeframe, the more irrelevant breadth, and sentiment measures are. Aggressively putting on new trades is a little tough.

When SP500 gains 1% or more and VIX gains 3% or more. HT @SJD10304

Here is another study, old but still a good one to know. From Quantifiable edges.

Below is my list for the day, I have an interest in these stocks if and only if they go through yesterday's high. IPO's have started to percolate, I will keep a very close eye on TPIC today.

Frank Zorrilla, Registered Advisor In New York. If you need a second opinion, suggestions, and or feedback in regards to the market feel free to reach me at fzorrilla@zorcapital.com or 646-480-7463. 

See How I Translate My Tweets & Blogs Into Actual 3rd Party Verified Trades

Work With Me

We live in a world in which we are bombarded with information, tweets, blogs, etc., content is the new salesman, content is the new marketing, content is the new networking. With information being so readily available, bloggers try to differentiate themselves with their writing skills, volume, and consistency, putting out blog posts to meet quotas. We are seeking to stand out from the crowd by showing performance, by taking all the information and seeking alpha, that’s the sole purpose of the blog. It won’t always be pretty; it’s never easy, and performance is spotty, but we seek superior risk-adjusted returns, not notoriety for our writing skills.  If this is something you can relate to, then this blog is for you.

Price Trumps Sentiment and Breadth

The market continues to march higher disregarding many breadth measures and sentiment measures that at times have put a short-term halt to previous rallies. Breadth and sentiment measures like everything else, matter certain times and certain times they don't. However, these measures make it a little harder to press on the gas in the short-term. What I do know is; that the longer your timeframe, the more irrelevant these measures are.

With that being said, below is my watchlist. I have an interest in these stocks/ETF's if and only if they go through yesterday's high. I will be keeping a very close eye on GLD and the Miners via JNUG and NUGT.

Frank Zorrilla, Registered Advisor In New York. If you need a second opinion, suggestions, and or feedback in regards to the market feel free to reach me at fzorrilla@zorcapital.com or 646-480-7463. 

See How I Translate My Tweets & Blogs Into Actual 3rd Party Verified Trades

Work With Me

We live in a world in which we are bombarded with information, tweets, blogs, etc., content is the new salesman, content is the new marketing, content is the new networking. With information being so readily available, bloggers try to differentiate themselves with their writing skills, volume, and consistency, putting out blog posts to meet quotas. We are seeking to stand out from the crowd by showing performance, by taking all the information and seeking alpha, that’s the sole purpose of the blog. It won’t always be pretty; it’s never easy, and performance is spotty, but we seek superior risk-adjusted returns, not notoriety for our writing skills.  If this is something you can relate to, then this blog is for you.

Lions Gate

Lions Gate Entertainment engages in motion picture production and distribution, television programming and syndication, home entertainment, branded channel platforms, interactive ventures and games, and location-based entertainment in Canada, the United States, and Internationally.

Lions Gate the stock has been trading sideways for 10-months after a prolonged decline in which sellers were in complete control. Over the last 10-months, the buyers and sellers have seemed to found equilibrium and the buyers are taking control as you can see in the chart below.

I have always been a big fan of long bases because typically a prolonged period of contraction leads to an extended period of expansion. Stan Weinstein, the author of Secrets For Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets, has the best definition for a stock's basing area.

The Basing Area: "After XYZ has been declining for several months, it eventually will lose downside momentum and start to trend sideways. What's actually taking place is that buyers and sellers are starting to move into equilibrium, whereas previously the sellers were far stronger, which is why the stock had plummeted. Volume will usually lessen--dry up--as a base forms. But often volume will start to expand late stage 1, even though prices remain little changed. This is an indication that dumping of the stock by disgruntled owners is no longer driving down the price. The buyers who are moving in to take the stock off their hands are not demanding any significant price concession."

What's also interesting about Lions Gate is the two huge insider buys by an insider who bought a total of 90k shares, a $2-million dollar investment. There's a million reason why you sell a stock but only one reason why you buy'em.

TRADE; Own the stock going through and holding $24, stop at $22.

Frank Zorrilla, Registered Advisor In New York. If you need a second opinion, suggestions, and or feedback in regards to the market feel free to reach me at fzorrilla@zorcapital.com or 646-480-7463. 

See How I Translate My Tweets & Blogs Into Actual 3rd Party Verified Trades

Work With Me

We live in a world in which we are bombarded with information, tweets, blogs, etc., content is the new salesman, content is the new marketing, content is the new networking. With information being so readily available, bloggers try to differentiate themselves with their writing skills, volume, and consistency, putting out blog posts to meet quotas. We are seeking to stand out from the crowd by showing performance, by taking all the information and seeking alpha, that’s the sole purpose of the blog. It won’t always be pretty; it’s never easy, and performance is spotty, but we seek superior risk-adjusted returns, not notoriety for our writing skills.  If this is something you can relate to, then this blog is for you.

You Chase You Lose

Tale of two markets, financials, and the energy names were the standouts yesterday while everything else took a beating.  The Semiconductors wiped out their entire post-election rally in 2-days. I can't say this enough; DON'T CHASE, this ain't the 90's.

The biotech sector has retraced their post-election ramp as well. Chances of seeing a retracement in the financials are high.

My best short-term barometer for swing trades is my rolling 5-day watchlist and that has been dead. A majority of the stocks are not even triggering (going through the previous day high).

Below are the stocks on my watchlist today, I have an interest in these stocks if and only if they go through yesterday's high.

Frank Zorrilla, Registered Advisor In New York. If you need a second opinion, suggestions, and or feedback in regards to the market feel free to reach me at fzorrilla@zorcapital.com or 646-480-7463. 

See How I Translate My Tweets & Blogs Into Actual 3rd Party Verified Trades

Work With Me

We live in a world in which we are bombarded with information, tweets, blogs, etc., content is the new salesman, content is the new marketing, content is the new networking. With information being so readily available, bloggers try to differentiate themselves with their writing skills, volume, and consistency, putting out blog posts to meet quotas. We are seeking to stand out from the crowd by showing performance, by taking all the information and seeking alpha, that’s the sole purpose of the blog. It won’t always be pretty; it’s never easy, and performance is spotty, but we seek superior risk-adjusted returns, not notoriety for our writing skills.  If this is something you can relate to, then this blog is for you.

Miners In Focus

My rolling 5-day watchlist which is my best short-term market barometer for swing trading has been weak.

Oil and oil stocks were the talk of the town yesterday, and there's seem to be some follow through this morning.

We have a lot of stocks extended in the short-term, and they need a little rest to set-up properly. How extended you might be asking, take a look at this chart;

Nasdaq vs. stocks up 25% or more in the last month.

Like every indicator, sometimes it works sometimes it doesn't.

Below is my watchlist for the day, I have an interest in these stocks/ETF's if and only if they go through yesterday's high with a special focus on the miners.

Frank Zorrilla, Registered Advisor In New York. If you need a second opinion, suggestions, and or feedback in regards to the market feel free to reach me at fzorrilla@zorcapital.com or 646-480-7463. 

See How I Translate My Tweets & Blogs Into Actual 3rd Party Verified Trades

Work With Me

We live in a world in which we are bombarded with information, tweets, blogs, etc., content is the new salesman, content is the new marketing, content is the new networking. With information being so readily available, bloggers try to differentiate themselves with their writing skills, volume, and consistency, putting out blog posts to meet quotas. We are seeking to stand out from the crowd by showing performance, by taking all the information and seeking alpha, that’s the sole purpose of the blog. It won’t always be pretty; it’s never easy, and performance is spotty, but we seek superior risk-adjusted returns, not notoriety for our writing skills.  If this is something you can relate to, then this blog is for you.