Thursday, October 27, 2016

What 2016 Best Performing ETF's Have In Common

The best performing single ETF'S this year have been KOL (+108%), GDXJ (+107%), EWZ (+83%), and GDX (+72%). These 4 ETF's all had one thing in common at the beginning of the year; they were all down 4-years in a row.


"The time to buy is when blood is running in the streets".---Baron Rothschild

It feels much better to buy assets while they're rising, but it's usually smarter to buy after they've been fallen for a while."-- Howard Marks

According to the Ivy Portfolio, the median country returns from 1903 to 2007 is 10.65% (all years), and 14.9% after three down years in a row.



Recent data by Dimson, Marsh, Staunton database, showed median country returns of 8.74% (all years) and 15.94% after three down years in a row, both suggest that you will double the median return of all years if you own a country ETF that is down three years in a row.  It's a very rare occasion that only happens 3% of the time.

Now you know to be on the look out for single ETF'S that are down 3-years in a row or more.


Frank Zorrilla, Registered Advisor In New York. If you need a second opinion, suggestions, and or feedback in regards to the market feel free to reach me at fzorrilla@zorcapital.com or 646-480-7463. 

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